By Henry Raymond Williamson

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At present, there have been some researches which make an application of real option concept in making an evaluation of renewable energy investment project in foreign. Lee and Shih (2010) made a point that “the policy effectiveness evaluation model” integrated the cost-effective curve which was brought by renewable energy technology innovation with the real options model. The model quantified the effectiveness of the policy through the analysis of the uncertainty in fossil fuel prices and policyrelated factors and studied the current renewable energy policies in Taiwan through empirical analysis (Lee and Shih 2010).

93 million yuan when we put k into formula (3) to calculate. At this point, the risk-adjusted NPV is less than zero; the investor should invest in the project according to the investment decision criterion. Through the comparison between NPVr and NPVk, you can see that the NPV of the project is reducing when we consider the systemic risk of the project; this is because of taking no account of systemic risk, and investors expect the same investment returns; lower risk will increase the expected returns of investors, and relatively higher risk will lead to lower expected returns.

4 Conclusions This paper estimated and analyzed the energy-related carbon emissions by using the data of 19 type of energy, 6 production sectors, 2 household sectors, 3 transformation sectors and 11 driving factors in Shanghai. That is a finer resolution than that of the previous studies. It will provide a scientific basis of designing emissionreduction measures for policy-makers. From 1995 to 2010, Shanghai’s energy-related carbon emissions increased continuously, which is mainly caused by production, household and energy transformation sectors.

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